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A LITTLE CLARITY FOR YOUR NEXT CHAPTER

Different homes.
Know the difference.

See what it costs to make your next move. Compare home prices
across 11 cities, five home types, and every possibility.

September 2026 monthly data

Vaughan at a glance

Monthly selling prices · Canadian dollars

THE PRICE GAPYour next move, in numbers

What’s the step between?

DATA PERIOD

A START WITH
B COMPARE WITH
THE BIGGER PICTURECAD

Price by home type

THE PRICE GAP OVER TIME

How is the gap changing?

Select a chart point to calculate the price gap for that month.

Each point is B − A for the same calendar month and price measure. The dashed amber line is the equal-weight average of valid gaps in the chart range. Percentage gap uses A as the base. Missing prices break the line. Outlined points include custom inputs; calculator edits affect only the month edited.

View monthly price gap values +
YOUR HOME · A RANGE OF POSSIBILITIES

Your home projection

Explore potential price changes for any address using a Monte Carlo simulation and the matching city / home-type market history.

5,000 simulationsMonthly time steps

Market proxy: Markham freehold townhouse · Select the matching city and home type. Entering an address labels the scenario; it does not look up or appraise that property.

Start with your own home value. The initial value is a city-wide monthly median used as an illustration. It is not an appraisal of this address. Enter an estimate or appraised value to personalize the projection.

Use any home address. City and home type choose the market history used for calibration. The address is stored only in this browser on this device and is included in your exported projection.

Historical analysis & calibration +

Only observations on or before the starting month are used. Calibration controls refresh growth and volatility; you can then edit either assumption. Calculator price edits do not enter this model.

Preparing the historical analysis…

How this simulation works +

5,000 possible price paths

Each path starts at your entered value. Every month, an independent normal random draw is applied to the log price. The annual median growth and annual volatility stay constant over the chosen horizon. Prices stay positive.

Vt+1 = Vt × exp[ln(1 + g) / 12 + σ × Z / √12]

g is annual median growth, σ is annual log-return volatility, and Z is a standard normal draw. g is not the arithmetic expected return: the theoretical mean rises above the median when volatility is positive.

Historical assumptions

Growth = exp(12 × mean monthly log return) − 1. Volatility = sample standard deviation of monthly log returns × √12. At least 12 adjacent monthly returns are required. Missing months are skipped without bridging the gap.

The proxy uses original, unadjusted monthly TRREB sold-price reports. Changes in the mix of homes sold can create noise. This is not a repeat-sales index or a history of this individual home.

Read the ranges as scenarios

P5–P95 contains the middle 90% of simulated prices under your assumptions; P25–P75 contains the middle 50%. These are model percentiles, not real-world confidence intervals or a guarantee of future prices. Reported probabilities are fractions of the 5,000 paths.

The model does not account for changing interest rates, shocks, renovations, your home’s condition, taxes, selling costs, inflation or mortgage balances. A larger run does not remove these limitations. Values are nominal CAD.

Inputs and results are calculated in your browser. Saved settings stay in this browser on this device. Change the seed to see sampling variation, or reuse it to compare assumptions using the same random draws.

LOOK ACROSS THE MAP

One comparison. Eleven cities.

Each row compares the selected home types within that city. Percentage change uses home A as the base.

Explore all 55 city and home-type prices +

Select a price to edit it. A dash means the selected measure is unavailable in the checked sources.

Averages tell a story. Context completes it.

City-wide prices reflect different sizes, locations and sales mixes. A higher price doesn’t necessarily mean an equivalent home costs more.

Make the numbers your own.

Comparing two actual properties? Enter your prices. Your changes stay in this browser on this device, and you can return to the published snapshot anytime.

BEHIND THE NUMBERS

Clear inputs. Transparent calculations.

How the differential works

Dollar gap = price B − price A.
Percentage gap = (B − A) ÷ A × 100.

A positive gap means B costs more; a negative gap means B costs less. Swapping A and B changes the percentage base.

About the monthly data

Monthly sold prices are extracted from archived TRREB Market Watch PDF reports linked below. Select the year and month in Price Gap to calculate with that period. These snapshots do not update automatically. Each month uses its original published report; figures are not retrospectively restated or seasonally adjusted.

Toronto means the City of Toronto (416), not the entire GTA. Stouffville uses the municipality reported as Whitchurch-Stouffville or Stouffville. Freehold townhouses use the attached/row/townhouse category. Condo apartments use the condominium apartment category, separately from condo townhouses.

Coverage & sources

History includes all 55 city and home-type combinations for every month from January 2016 through September 2026: 7,095 monthly records. Average prices, median prices and sales counts are included. Zero-sales months have no price. Add your own records to extend the history.

Original September 2026 TRREB report ↗

Average = total sold dollar volume ÷ sales. Median = the middle sold price. These are separate measures, not HPI benchmarks. Published sales counts describe the original snapshot; they are not attached to custom prices. Purchase prices exclude condo fees, property taxes and closing costs.

YOUR COMPARISON, YOUR INPUTS

Edit home prices

Enter sold prices, asking prices, or your own estimates in CAD. Blank values stay unavailable.

Custom prices are stored only in this browser on this device for the selected month only. Keep the same price measure for a useful comparison.

BUILD YOUR MONTHLY HISTORY

Monthly home prices

Enter a consistent monthly average or median for each home type. These records power the trend charts.

Blank fields are saved as unavailable. Saving a published month marks changed records as custom. Each save applies to the month and city shown.